Mobile services have revolutionised our world, and
promise to be a key to future transformation. The global mobile broadband
industry has become an incredible spectacle to observe, from the many
competitors vying for position, the amazing apps streaming into the market, and
the constant appearance of new devices.
Mobile penetration, however, continues to vary widely
throughout the world. In Europe, nearly 80% of the population were unique
mobile subscribers at the end of 2014, while in Sub-Saharan Africa the figure
was only 39%. But the developing regions are where we will see most growth in
the years to 2020.
Mobile broadband access using the 3G and now the
4G/LTE networks has continued to expand as users continue to add tablets,
modems and phones to use alternative communication methods and cloud based
services. In the longer term, with the increased availability of mobile devices
such as tablets and smartphones, the amount of mobile data downloaded is likely
to at least double yearly for the next few years.
The global smartphone market has slowed from its boom
years to a more modest but still significant growth. With mature markets
becoming increasingly dependent on replacement purchases rather than on
first-time buyers, the industry is shifting its attention to emerging countries
in Asia, Latin America, and Africa, where much of the population either does
not own a mobile phone or has yet to move from feature phone to smartphone.
A major threat to the smartphone business arises from
the limitations of the mobile broadband infrastructure. The mobile industry can
develop all of these new applications and services, but if the infrastructure
cannot handle the capacity, there will be little use for them. Developed
markets are eating up new spectrum with a voracious appetite. WiFi could be a
good customer access alternative; it is already used to access mobile broadband
in the home, but mobile operators have problems with the idea of changing their
business models to better utilise WiFi.
Driven by the growing usage of smartphones and mobile
broadband services, mobile messaging continues to gain popularity throughout
the world. But the scene is changing. The traditional SMS market, which peaked
in 2012 and is now gradually shrinking, is being replaced by Over-The-Top (OTT)
social messaging and messaging apps. This decline in traditional SMS usage is
particularly evident in countries and regions where there is high smartphone
and mobile broadband penetration.
In spite of some commentators spelling the death of
email in favour of social media and other forms of messaging, there is yet no
sign that our email boxes will lie empty anytime soon. In fact, the number of
emails being sent worldwide continues to grow, and global revenues from email
are forecast to almost double between 2014 and 2018. The biggest change is that
almost half of all emails are being accessed from a mobile device globally.
Despite the positive future ahead for the mobile
sector, it must also be acknowledged that many carriers are currently facing
financial woes, with stagnating revenues, declining ARPUs and increasing
competition.
Average Revenue per User (ARPU) is a key performance
indicator for mobile operators and used as an important benchmark by investors
and analysts. The current economic climate has driven down ARPU for operators
around the world. But besides the economic downturn, there are other factors at
work. Price pressures due to competition and multi-SIM users are also
contributing to weaken ARPU – as is the fact that most new mobile subscribers
come from lower-income segments. If we look at Average Revenue per unique
Subscriber (ARPS), however, the downward trend is less pronounced, as this
measure removes the effects of multi-SIM ownership.
Roaming prices are a controversial issue around the
world, with customers complaining that roaming prices are too high. Many mobile
users are turning to alternatives solutions such as Wi-Fi hotspots and local
SIM cards. Regulators in many countries have ordered companies to lower their
roaming fees and increase billing transparency, thus lessening the chance of
bill-shock. However, for mobile operators, roaming remains an important source
of revenue.
Customer experience has become a key issue in the
overall retail market, not just in telecoms – and dissatisfied customers are no
longer taking a passive approach. In search of better prices and better
services, more and more mobile subscribers around the world are opting to
change service providers. As a result, churn rates are on the rise. Bearing in
mind that the cost of acquiring customers is expensive, reducing churn rates
can offer significant savings to telcos.
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